Annapolis vis a vis Hamas and Iran
- Hamas and Iran have vocally opposed Annapolis and deemed it a failure before it even started
- It is true that Hamas’s control of Gaza is a significant barrier to a two state solution
- A lot is at stake for Abbas; if no progress is made in Annapolis, he will be weakened; if no progress is made over the coming year, he may fall;
- But if Abbas and Olmert make progress over this year and begin implementing confidence building measures, they will weaken the grip of Hamas; if Abbas and Olmert achieve an agreement that meets the support of the people, they will be able to start implementing it in the West Bank, and such progress with create enormous pressure on Hamas to either accept the will of the Palestinian people or face being dislodged through elections or through force;
- The most recent show of force of citizens disenchanted with Hamas rule – with anywhere between 250,000 and half a million citizens – about a third of the entire population of Gaza – showing on the streets to march against Hamas’s abuse demonstrates that Hamas is losing its grip;
- Iran is obviously displeased with Annapolis and will try to undermine it with all its might; it is imperative for the leaders to not give Iran a veto power by freezing negotiations if any attacks are made.
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