Archive for the ‘Iran’ Category

Why “Deterrence” May Not Apply to Iran

Published under Iran Sep 04, 2012

My Dad used to really admire Charles Krauthammer’s writing. When I was younger, so did I. I am not sure if my views evolved, or if he become far more conservative than I recalled, but over the last decade, I find him to be so immersed in an inflexible right-wing ideology lacking any subtlety that he is far less persuasive to mainstream readers. That said, sometimes he makes a lot of sense. As he did with this article, where he persuasively argues that “deterrence” is not the same with Iran as it was with the Soviet Union, and that for at least three solid reasons, security policy and strategy cannot rely on Iranians to be “deterred” from an attack or a counterattack. Sadly, I agree completely with his assessment. And it worries me greatly that the US Administration does not seem to realize that.

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Dr. Ephraim Sneh is always on target with his strategic analysis of the politics in play in the Middle East. This is no less the case in his latest piece about the state of affairs between Israel and the US vis-a-vis Iran for the Israel Policy Forum.

Spotted by Daniel Lubetzky, by Julianna Storch

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An Iranian General passed a letter on to an opposition website that highlights the “Supreme Leader” insisting on pursuing nuclear weapons, on oppressing his citizens and ordering the killing of those who stood against abuses, and in fomenting a culture of abuse of power and corruption amongst his ruling elite. Read this story, as reported in The Guardian.

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Israelis to Iranians: We Love You

Published under Iran, Israel Apr 02, 2012

It is very much worth seeing this campaign, and applauding it for what it stands – a people to people effort to humanize each other, amidst enormous dehumanization.

I am acutely aware about the apocalyptic tendencies of Ahmadinejad and about the absolutist totalitarian oppression of Khamenei, including their support of terror and their subjugation of their own people.  This movement doesn’t even engage with any of that – it transcends it, and shares a very important message from common Israeli people to common Iranian people.  In the end, the people are the ones that will be able to transcend their extremist representatives and achieve co-existence.

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This speech is a must-read. It obviously was given to a constituency solely concerned with strengthening Israeli-American bonds and alignment and is clear the President had to counteract opponents who seek to distort his record. It doesn’t do enough (or anything) to share with the Israeli people, and the American Jewish community, the necessary sacrifices and compromises that Israel will need to make to achieve comprehensive and permanent security and peace. But in an election year a speech before AIPAC need not do so.

What the speech does in a principled and lucid way is highlight that President Obama is a solid ally of Israel and all the myths and distortions in the world cannot deny his record.

Most important, President Obama convincingly demonstrates that his engagement offer to Iran at the beginning of his Administration, as much as many of us were skeptical about, was a prerequisite to give him and the US the credibility to align the entire international community behind sanctions against the Iranian regime when it refused to deal constructively and concretely to cure its nuclear proliferation violations. 

I personally do not believe the present Iranian regime will abandon its pursuit of nuclear weapons capability under any circumstance, no matter the pressure exerted, no matter whether overtly or covertly (the assessment would be the same both for a fanatical AND a rational actor in this case). But I agree that President Obama has to exhaust diplomatic options as part of the process, even as time runs out because a military confrontation once Iran has crossed the rubicon will be more dangerous to America, to Israel, to Iran’s Arab neighbors and all its neighbors, and to civilization.

 

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Iran is no friend of Palestine

Published under Iran, Middle East, Palestine Jan 24, 2012

I have heard Saeb Erakat say the same thing at the World Economic Forum in Jordan a few years ago, and now  – in this interview – Prime Minister Fayyad reminded the world that the Palestinian cause gets hurt when the Iranian regime tries to hijack it for its own benefits.  Extremists should not be allowed to incite hatred and division for their own divisive purposes.  Moderate Israelis and Palestinians need to wake up to the need for them to work together to build two states that respect one another and fulfill the aspirations of their people.  It is the only way.

 

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In case anyone has doubts as to Hamas and Iran’s intentions: nothing less than Israel’s destruction.  Their extremism prolongs the conflict and the suffering of both: ordinary Palestinians and Israelis.

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According to a recent Op-Ed by Amb. Stuart Eizenstat, it is essential for the American Jewish community to recognize that President Obama’s broad principles provide the key to a safe and secure Jewish state.

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“Iran wants to fight America and Israel down to the last Palestinian, Lebanese and Iraqi.”

As quoted by Karim S in Arab Rise, Tehran Trembles

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The Spiritual Ahmadinejad

Published under Iran, Middle East, Religion Dec 01, 2010

The Wall Street Journal recently reported that Ahmadinejad believes he has a line of communication with the Hidden Imam, a Messiah for the Muslim Shiia. Read more below.

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